Netherlands predicted to win 28 medals at Rio Olympics
By Beatrice Clarke
The Netherlands can expect to win 28 medals at the Rio Olympic Games, if predictions from sport data bureau Gracenote prove to be correct.
Gracenote (previously Infostrada) foresees the Netherlands winning six gold, 11 silver and 11 bronze medals during the games, which would place the Netherlands 13th on the medal tally.
If successful, this windfall of 28 medals would be a record for the Netherlands, overtaking their current record of 25 medals at the Sydney Olympics in 2000.
How to predict a win
To determine which athletes have the highest chance of winning a medal, Gracenote analysed results from recent sporting events including Olympic Games, world championships and world cups.
Factors such as the time elapsed since analysed events and the strength of the competition are also been taken into account.
Predicted Dutch gold medals at Rio
| Athlete | Sport | Event |
|---|---|---|
| Dafne Schippers | Athletics | 200mt |
| Niek Kimmann | BMX cycling | Individual |
| Tom Dumoulin | Road cycling | Time trial |
| Kim Polling | Judo | 70kg |
| Marit Bouwmeester | Sailing | Laser Radial |
| Dutch team | Equestrian | Team jumping |
Predictions for other countries
Gracenote also released a virtual medal table where the predicted performance of different countries can be compared.
As usual, the United States is expected to top the table with 88 medals, 38 of which are expected to be gold. China is predicted to be ranked second with 71 medals, and Great Britain third with 56.
Russia is expected to bring in a reduced amount of 42 medals, as a consequence of the state-sponsored doping scandal, placing them sixth on the virtual medal table.
Gracenote virtual medal table for Rio
| Country | Gold | Total medals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 38 | 88 |
| 2 | China | 29 | 71 |
| 3 | Great Britain | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Germany | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | Australia | 16 | 41 |
| 6 | Russia | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | Japan | 14 | 36 |
| 8 | France | 13 | 47 |
| 9 | South Korea | 10 | 25 |
| 10 | Brazil | 8 | 20 |
Sports Illustrated foresees less Dutch gold
The American magazine Sports Illustrated has also released a medal tally prediction for the Rio games.
Their outlook for the Dutch Olympic team is slightly less rosy than that of Gracenote, with only four gold, 11 silver and seven bronze medals.
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Beatrice is a native Melbournian who moved to the Netherlands in 2009. With a background in independent publishing and fashion, Beatrice honed her understanding of Dutch language and culture working for three years in cosmopolitan Heerhugowaard. Read more